I've looked at your other posts, and you seem like a reasonable enough person. I don't have a horrible beef with you, but in general I really despise it when p

I've looked at your other posts, and you seem like a reasonable enough person. I don't have a horrible beef with you, but in general I really despise it when people do the chicken-little doom and gloom thing and project gazillions of deaths on every latest horrible thing. Yes, awful things happen, but it's like a disgusting yearly sport for arm chair experts to exercise their righteous indignation at all of us while preaching how we're all going to die from Africanized bees, Zika, H1N1, whatever. Usually it's mixed with some other two-faced political agenda. You didn't really do that, but maybe you'll forgive me for thinking your exercise in exponential growth fell into the same category. These predictions are always shown to be exaggerated after the fact, and then the doomsayer gets to say something like, "Yeah, if it weren't for all of us telling you" or "You're ungrateful for disregarding all the hard work of everyone who came together to blah blah". There's no accountability for, or end to, the bullshit. Moreover, while it's a morbid task, rational adults should be able to ask whether the costs we've paid dealing with this corona virus are worth it. At 758 deaths, and even 21 days later at 26,300 deaths, we've wrecked the lives of millions of people in the US. It's hard to find stats, but tens of millions of people are now unemployed, and many of their lives suck because of it. Doing arithmetic on suffering and death is distasteful, but there is some point where you wouldn't ruin N people's lives to save just 1 person from dying. Particularly when some of those N people are going to commit suicide in response etc... I won't be making any predictions, but other really bad things can happen when you've got a huge number of people who can't afford food or rent. Two years ago, approximately 61,000 people died from the flu in the US and we didn't do anything more than make flu shots more available. As for over vs under counting, I hope you're not doing that pedantic "pneumonia isn't the flu" thing. The point is that 150,000 people around the world die every DAY from something, and 10,000 - 100,000 people in the US die every year from something with symptoms close to corona virus.