4 ms·
Your exercises were worthless because they were based on the assumption epidemiology is usefully correct, and it's clearly not. I mean, I wonder how you reach
by thu2111 7y ago
Your exercises were worthless because they were based on the assumption epidemiology is usefully correct, and it's clearly not.
I mean, I wonder how you reach the conclusions you do? Just read your own post back to yourself. You say the numbers in SARS-COV-2 are worse than for your simulation yet the outcomes observed in reality are empty hospitals that need to furlough workers because they are so underworked. Reality has disproven the simulations, but it sounds a lot like you're concluding reality is wrong?
- Lewton 7y agoHe's clearly talking about what would happen without intervention. We do not live in that world
- perl4ever 7y ago"empty hospitals that need to furlough workers because they are so underworked" This seems to be a meme, but I think it started with misinterpretation of elective procedures being cancelled and employees that couldn't be repurposed being furloughed. It doesn't make any sense to equate this with hospital resources in general being plentiful. The point of no elective procedures is that some resources are freed up. Bottlenecks aren't applicable to everything equally.
- thu2111 7y agoThere's no mis-interpretation. All those procedures were cancelled because of a belief that hospitals would be overflowing and every bed would be needed. Clearly those predictions were well wide of the mark.