2 ms·
There is data suggesting that the current number of recognized infections is just 6% of the total infection count. This also means that case fatality rates are
by throwawaysea 7y ago
There is data suggesting that the current number of recognized infections is just 6% of the total infection count. This also means that case fatality rates are vastly overstated, since the rate would drop if we had enough testing to recognize the true total case count: https://reason.com/2020/04/12/official-covid-19-numbers-represent-just-6-of-total-infections-a-new-analysis-suggests/ https://reason.com/2020/04/12/official-covid-19-numbers-repr...
A new antibody study in LA may give us better numbers: https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-04-10/coronavirus-antibodies-testing-los-angeles-county https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-04-10/coronavi...
My one hope is that the leaders of these states (CA OR WA) do not follow the “noble lie” strategy adopted by the WHO and others to manipulate the population. Insofar as coercive orders are tolerated at all, they must be accompanied by truthful metrics, believable goalposts, and a practical mindset that doesn’t aim for perfect outcomes.