4 ms·
Based on Italian serological and all cause mortality data I have seen, the death toll would more likely be about 1.4%. 0.5 IMO is quite optimistic. 0.1% of Ne
by cameldrv 7y ago
Based on Italian serological and all cause mortality data I have seen, the death toll would more likely be about 1.4%. 0.5 IMO is quite optimistic. 0.1% of New York's population has already died.
This also discounts the unknown possibility of disability, reinfection, and limited time immunity.
- DuskStar 7y agoI was under the impression that NYC had a confirmed infection rate of ~1%. Have they really had a tenth of confirmed cases die already?
- irq11 7y agoNo. Currently >200k confirmed, <11k deaths in New York State. NY population is 18.8M. 0.05% of the population has died.
- Ankaios 7y agoNew York City's population is around 8.5 M, and more then 10,000 people there have died from from the virus so far (https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/14/nyregion/new-york-coronavirus-deaths.html https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/14/nyregion/new-york-coronav...). That puts the toll over 0.1 %.