And a good contrast is Bulgaria, which shutdown early, on March 13th or so (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-bulgaria-emergency/bulgaria-cl

And a good contrast is Bulgaria, which shutdown early, on March 13th or so (https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-bulgaria-emergency/bulgaria-closes-schools-restricts-travel-over-coronavirus-idUSKBN21015D https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-bulgar...), and which has a death rate on par with South Korea's. The neighbouring countries (Romania, Serbia, Greece) are also low but at least 2x that rate.