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I think there are open questions about how much our current actions are preventing deaths vs delaying them, what the difference is in terms of number of deaths
by istorical 7y ago
I think there are open questions about how much our current actions are preventing deaths vs delaying them, what the difference is in terms of number of deaths caused by stay-at-home order vs more mild social distancing, and what downstream effects and deaths will result from a new global depression (especially in the developing world).
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]
- yibg 7y agoAre there any examples of milder social distancing without extensive testing and contact tracing that has been effective? There are certainly a lot of examples of delayed or poorly enforced / adhered social distancing that has proved to be ineffective.
- option 7y agoSweden. Also look how different states/counties are affected in US
- therealdrag0 7y agoSweden has one of the highest deaths/million.
- CydeWeys 7y agoYup, it's worse than the United States even. They're not a model of success at all.
- temp20160423 7y agoIt's not worse than US: http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/ http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/ (third plot on page)
- CydeWeys 7y agoWrong data. You're looking at confirmed cases, which Sweden is massively falling behind on because they're under-testing so badly, as you can see from their absolutely incredible (as in unbelievable) reported case fatality rate of 9%. It's not that 9% of their population is dying from this, it's that they're not even catching 1 out of every 50 people that even have it. Their stats look low because they're so severely under-reported. The correct figures to be comparing here are per capita deaths. Sweden is currently sitting at 1,014 deaths per 10M people while the United States is at 789. Ergo, Sweden's outbreak is roughly a third worse than the US so far, and growing worse.