You're neglecting to consider the rates of obesity in the general population. 29% of adults in the UK are obese (BMI > 30) and another 36% are overweight (25 <

You're neglecting to consider the rates of obesity in the general population. 29% of adults in the UK are obese (BMI > 30) and another 36% are overweight (25 < BMI < 30).[1] So the pattern you see above is really just "people hospitalized for COVID-19 have roughly the same distribution of weights as the general population". There's a little bit of correlation with the obese being a little more likely to be hospitalized, but I'm not sure that pattern holds up if you correct for age. In any case, it's not nearly that exciting or strong of a correlation, to let you guess who is going to die. [1] https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn03336/ https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn03...