3 ms·

Being selfish and looking at the numbers for the UK. One thing that is striking is the peaks in age. The total figures look like the peak has yet to arrive, bu

Being selfish and looking at the numbers for the UK. One thing that is striking is the peaks in age. The total figures look like the peak has yet to arrive, but thats because the mortality in the 65+ range is climbing (Given that 13% and rising have cases, this isn't suprising) but the 18-65 looks like it has peaked. This shows a similar pattern to spain, if a bit earlier on the slope. However this is just a shallow observation.

rjsw 7y ago
Maybe the over 65s in the UK can't isolate themselves as easily as younger age groups. Knowing percentages of older people in nursing homes for different countries could be useful.
- christkv 7y ago
  It’s gotten into the old folks homes just as in Spain.
DanBC 7y ago
The Office for National Statistics is gathering lots of data for the England and Wales (but not NI or Scotland). (There's some lag in the ONS data). "The provisional number of deaths registered in England and Wales in the week ending 3 April 2020 (Week 14) was 16,387; this represents an increase of 5,246 deaths registered compared with the previous week (Week 13) and 6,082 more than the five-year average." https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26 https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthan... "The @ONS said the 16,387 deaths registered in England and Wales in the week to 3 April, was the highest weekly total since they started recording weekly deaths in 2005" https://twitter.com/ShaunLintern/status/1249990956302073856?s=20 https://twitter.com/ShaunLintern/status/1249990956302073856?... If we look at the weekly death for 2020, compared to the weekly death averaged for the past 5 years we see large spikes in excess mortality. We'd expect some increase because the UK has an ageing population, but not this much. https://twitter.com/ActuaryByDay/status/1249983121254203395?s=20 https://twitter.com/ActuaryByDay/status/1249983121254203395?... Or we can look at max / min mortality for each week since 2010, and overlay covid-19 excess mortality https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1250007002165755905?s=20 https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1250007002165755905?s... We can include flu and pneumonia https://twitter.com/philjvtaylor/status/1250094624707928065?s=20 https://twitter.com/philjvtaylor/status/1250094624707928065?... "Of the deaths registered, 3,475 mentioned coronavirus, which is 21 per cent of all deaths, compared to 539 deaths and 4.8 per cent of all deaths in the previous week." https://nhsproviders.org/topics/covid-19/coronavirus-member-support/national-guidance/government-updates/daily-updates https://nhsproviders.org/topics/covid-19/coronavirus-member-... (I upvoted you. I don't understand why you got downvotes.)

rjsw 7y ago

Maybe the over 65s in the UK can't isolate themselves as easily as younger age groups. Knowing percentages of older people in nursing homes for different countries could be useful.

christkv 7y ago
It’s gotten into the old folks homes just as in Spain.

DanBC 7y ago

The Office for National Statistics is gathering lots of data for the England and Wales (but not NI or Scotland). (There's some lag in the ONS data). "The provisional number of deaths registered in England and Wales in the week ending 3 April 2020 (Week 14) was 16,387; this represents an increase of 5,246 deaths registered compared with the previous week (Week 13) and 6,082 more than the five-year average." https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26 https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthan... "The @ONS said the 16,387 deaths registered in England and Wales in the week to 3 April, was the highest weekly total since they started recording weekly deaths in 2005" https://twitter.com/ShaunLintern/status/1249990956302073856?s=20 https://twitter.com/ShaunLintern/status/1249990956302073856?... If we look at the weekly death for 2020, compared to the weekly death averaged for the past 5 years we see large spikes in excess mortality. We'd expect some increase because the UK has an ageing population, but not this much. https://twitter.com/ActuaryByDay/status/1249983121254203395?s=20 https://twitter.com/ActuaryByDay/status/1249983121254203395?... Or we can look at max / min mortality for each week since 2010, and overlay covid-19 excess mortality https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1250007002165755905?s=20 https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1250007002165755905?s... We can include flu and pneumonia https://twitter.com/philjvtaylor/status/1250094624707928065?s=20 https://twitter.com/philjvtaylor/status/1250094624707928065?... "Of the deaths registered, 3,475 mentioned coronavirus, which is 21 per cent of all deaths, compared to 539 deaths and 4.8 per cent of all deaths in the previous week." https://nhsproviders.org/topics/covid-19/coronavirus-member-support/national-guidance/government-updates/daily-updates https://nhsproviders.org/topics/covid-19/coronavirus-member-... (I upvoted you. I don't understand why you got downvotes.)