2 ms·

I agree 100% with Taek, and that's what I've been using - corona deaths instead of testing for months. US testing is so porous as to be meaningless, even today

I agree 100% with Taek, and that's what I've been using - corona deaths instead of testing for months. US testing is so porous as to be meaningless, even today. Also, I care about bottlenecks like ventilators and ICU staff count, not the 98% of people who don't require hospitalization. I find all US media and political coverage to completely miss the point, with anecdotes substituting for public health policy. It's like watching a train wreck that won't stop.

lukeschlather 7y ago
> US testing is so porous as to be meaningless, even today. We've been testing well over 5000 people per day on average for over a month. Suppose 500 tests per day are randomly administered for the purpose of estimating overall prevalence of the virus. That sample ought to pretty clearly establish the total number of cases within 5%. I'm sure there are some clever statisticians at the CDC with some fancy Bayesian inference or something who can push the confidence up even higher using all the non-randomly administered tests.