There's a couple problems with this: * deaths are also likely to be under reported (although, I agree, probably still better than the total unknown people who

There's a couple problems with this: * deaths are also likely to be under reported (although, I agree, probably still better than the total unknown people who haven't been tested) * a decreasing number of deaths does nothing to fix the actual problem: the possibility of contagion if we all resume normalish activity My preferred metric has been 'average increase rate over 7 days', in other words, take the new detected cases any given day, calculate what percentage that is over the total for the last week, then average seven of those. We'll never get a proper idea of how many people are actually infected until we get proper widespread testing, but at least we can get an idea of how bad cases (those that are likely to get tested) are growing. Another data point to look at is how many ICU units are in an area vs. how many ICU COVID cases there are and how many beds are still available. [1] San Francisco has finally started making those stats available: [1]https://data.sfgov.org/stories/s/San-Francisco-COVID-19-Data-Tracker/fjki-2fab/ https://data.sfgov.org/stories/s/San-Francisco-COVID-19-Data...