Here's one: https://www.pandemiceconomist.com/2020/04/costs-and-benefits-of-government.html https://www.pandemiceconomist.com/2020/04/costs-and-benefits... TL;

Here's one: https://www.pandemiceconomist.com/2020/04/costs-and-benefits-of-government.html https://www.pandemiceconomist.com/2020/04/costs-and-benefits... TL;DR (copied directly from the post): With these values, if a lockdown of two years or less will stop the COVID-19 pandemic, it is a good idea. With the current research into treatments and vaccines and the development of testing and tracing strategies, I believe that there will be a medical or public health way to stop the pandemic in less than two years. Notably, the net benefit of a decision to initiate or sustain lockdown goes up over time, because the time remaining until medical countermeasures are available keeps going down.