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> remote working becomes more palatable and almost a necessity even if most people don't stick to it, the important step is that every company in the world is

> remote working becomes more palatable and almost a necessity even if most people don't stick to it, the important step is that every company in the world is now remote-ready when needed, so it can accomodate hybrid schemes and people will learn to make the transition seamless over time. It's now the office that becomes optional. Cities are defined by work, so this is a major shift > Private schools may go virtual. Homeschooling rates may skyrocket. There is an understanding that virtual schooling does not work well. maybe schooling in small groups or home does though. > Whoever cracks the code on virtual socialization will make billions. It's already cracked: second life does it and it's already trending up https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?q=second%20life https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?q=second%20life (and its open source clone, opensimulator). Open world gaming should take advantage of it. Video chat alone is boring, and "normal" gaming is too much work for 90% of people. > have pivoted to "mobile first" development PC sales are already going up. There will inevitably be a trend towards better desktop apps, games will benefit > I'm a little curious as to how (or if!) the anti-vaxx movement changes haha yes i m curious to see that reaction, especially considering how multiple vaccines have been found to be beneficial for covid Tourism is seeing a major earthquake. There are entire countries dependent on it. I think they will switch to interim solutions, like long-term stays, advertising their covid-safety etc.

Jemaclus 6y ago
> even if most people don't stick to it, the important step is that every company in the world is now remote-ready when needed Yes, exactly. > It's already cracked: second life does it Maybe, but Second Life has been around forever and the percentage of the population that uses it is really, really tiny. And it doesn't make billions. I'm talking more about Facebook levels or Zoom levels of popularity, the kind of thing that everyone in the world would use. Something that my grandmother or mother or my neighbors and non-technical friends would actually download and install, use from their phones every single day, and be afraid that they're missing out on something if they don't use it. I'm explicitly not talking about a game (or game-like "virtual world"). Put another way, right now everyone is on Google Hangouts, Zoom, or FaceTime to spend time socially with one another. You're right. It's boring and not a great way to interact. But face-to-face is better than avatar-to-avatar for the general public, for people like my mother and friends and teens, and once someone can figure out to have a party atmosphere with friends via video at scale, they'll make billions. > PC sales are already going up. There will inevitably be a trend towards better desktop apps, games will benefit You misread that section. When I said "mobile first", I was talking about tech but that section was not about tech. That section was about how, like tech went "mobile first", other industries will have to start thinking "delivery first" or perhaps more accurately "no foot traffic first". In the last decade, tech companies have had to be prepared for 90% of their customers being mobile, and now brick-and-mortar stores must start preparing for 90% of their customers not ever setting foot in their store. In other words: How will a shoe store stay in business if nobody goes in to try shoes? How will a comic book store stay in business if people don't come in to browse comics? What's their strategy? Will they beef up their online presence? If you're going to open an art gallery, how do you share it online and get people to buy expensive art online? Can you compete with Amazon or Etsy or eBay? > Tourism is seeing a major earthquake. There are entire countries dependent on it. I think they will switch to interim solutions, like long-term stays, advertising their covid-safety etc. I agree with the last bit. Being COVID-19 or "pandemic safe" is going to be a big thing. I'm less sold on long-term stays, but who knows, really? Thanks for sharing your thoughts. Very interesting to hear others' perspectives.

Jemaclus 6y ago

> even if most people don't stick to it, the important step is that every company in the world is now remote-ready when needed Yes, exactly. > It's already cracked: second life does it Maybe, but Second Life has been around forever and the percentage of the population that uses it is really, really tiny. And it doesn't make billions. I'm talking more about Facebook levels or Zoom levels of popularity, the kind of thing that everyone in the world would use. Something that my grandmother or mother or my neighbors and non-technical friends would actually download and install, use from their phones every single day, and be afraid that they're missing out on something if they don't use it. I'm explicitly not talking about a game (or game-like "virtual world"). Put another way, right now everyone is on Google Hangouts, Zoom, or FaceTime to spend time socially with one another. You're right. It's boring and not a great way to interact. But face-to-face is better than avatar-to-avatar for the general public, for people like my mother and friends and teens, and once someone can figure out to have a party atmosphere with friends via video at scale, they'll make billions. > PC sales are already going up. There will inevitably be a trend towards better desktop apps, games will benefit You misread that section. When I said "mobile first", I was talking about tech but that section was not about tech. That section was about how, like tech went "mobile first", other industries will have to start thinking "delivery first" or perhaps more accurately "no foot traffic first". In the last decade, tech companies have had to be prepared for 90% of their customers being mobile, and now brick-and-mortar stores must start preparing for 90% of their customers not ever setting foot in their store. In other words: How will a shoe store stay in business if nobody goes in to try shoes? How will a comic book store stay in business if people don't come in to browse comics? What's their strategy? Will they beef up their online presence? If you're going to open an art gallery, how do you share it online and get people to buy expensive art online? Can you compete with Amazon or Etsy or eBay? > Tourism is seeing a major earthquake. There are entire countries dependent on it. I think they will switch to interim solutions, like long-term stays, advertising their covid-safety etc. I agree with the last bit. Being COVID-19 or "pandemic safe" is going to be a big thing. I'm less sold on long-term stays, but who knows, really? Thanks for sharing your thoughts. Very interesting to hear others' perspectives.