3 ms·
I've heard about this study but haven't read it carefully. My problem with these studies is that their methods of analysis are overly complicated I'm not knowle
by bko 7y ago
I've heard about this study but haven't read it carefully. My problem with these studies is that their methods of analysis are overly complicated I'm not knowledgeable enough to know if the results are being managed.
The range is from 1993-1998 while this was published in 2004. I'm not sure why that range was selected.
Also, consider the universe:
> Initially, we begin with 6,052 transactions. Before analysis we apply several
screens to the data. Only U.S. common stocks are included in the study. These
screens eliminate, among other things, all preferred stock, ADRs, REITs, foreign
stocks, and mutual funds. We also eliminate all initial public offerings (IPOs)
from the sample.2 In total, 360 observations are eliminated for the reasons given
above. Among the surviving transactions, approximately 59% of the stocks are
listed on the NYSE, 40% are traded on the NASDAQ, and about 1% are listed on
the ASE.
Why eliminate those other things? Would the conclusion have changed if they had been included?
> As indicated previously, Senators report transaction amounts only within broad
ranges.
Ranges are as follows:
$1,001 to $15,000
$15,001 to $50,000
$50,001 to $100,000
$100,001 to $250,000
$250,001 to $500,000
$500,001 to $1,000,000
over $1,000,000
And from the paper:
> As before, we again estimate the value of their trades using the midpoint of the range reported by the Senators for all transactions less than $250,000. For all transactions above $250,000, we assume a transaction size equal to $250,000.
Why floor it at 250? Why not keep the midpoint, at least for 250 - 500 and 500 - 1mm?
I also thought it was odd to look at two portfolios, one of buys and one of sells. If the buys outperformed, but sells were a lot larger, then its not a good strategy on the whole. That's before we even get to the performance measure used.
Think could all be above the board and decided upon prior to actually crunching the numbers. But there are too many things here for me to definitively buy the narrative.