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too bad casual.app is so tightly coupled to the google ecosystem, even enough to say it's optimized for chrome (terrible for privacy/confidentiality). we really
by clairity 7y ago
too bad casual.app is so tightly coupled to the google ecosystem, even enough to say it's optimized for chrome (terrible for privacy/confidentiality). we really need deeper and wider understanding of decision-making under risk and uncertainty (see over-reaction to covid by many, under-reaction by some). tooling like this can help.
it's hard to evaluate the modeling capabilities from a few pages and blog posts. how does it compare to crystal ball on excel, for example?
- refrigerator 7y agoCausal's a bit like a spreadsheet and a bit like programming — you can use it to construct arbitrary models by creating "variables" and linking them together with "formulas". Compared to Crystal Ball, it can do all the distribution stuff — variables can take on any kind of distribution you define. But we (try to) make it trivial to use these — you can write formulas like "5 to 10", and we map that onto a sensible distribution for you, so you don't need any probability/stats knowledge, whereas CB is a lot more technical. The CB suite also now includes some other tools that can do things like optimisation, which Causal doesn't do yet. Causal works in most modern browsers, and we're working on handling non-Chrome browsers better :) Not sure what you mean by "coupled to the google ecosystem"!
- owenshen24 7y agoThere's also Guesstimate, which I think is similar: https://www.getguesstimate.com/?ref=producthunt https://www.getguesstimate.com/?ref=producthunt