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Yes, you really need to follow death rates. According to some claims up to 70% of corona infections could not result in observable symptoms. However, if you t
by usr1106 7y ago
Yes, you really need to follow death rates.
According to some claims up to 70% of corona infections could not result in observable symptoms.
However, if you take just dying people, it would not come as a surprise that they are so weak that the additional infection can produce visible symptoms and their death is attributed to COVID.
In some places in Lombardy (Italy) the death rate is clearly higher. You didn't need the army to transport coffins before. No statistical anlysis required here.
The analysis is further complicated that death rates vary a lot over the year even under normal circumstances. I don't doubt that in some countries a corona peak will be seen, but it will still take months to be sure how big it is.
https://www.euromomo.eu/ https://www.euromomo.eu/ shows long term death rates in selected European countries.
- m0zg 7y agoThis is exactly what I want to see at at least county-level resolution for the US, and at a borough level in NY. This is something that's immediately usable. "X people died" is not usable on its own, because it contains no information on how X compares with what's "normal" in a geographic region.
- Lewton 7y ago> According to some claims up to 70% of corona infections could not result in observable symptoms. This is a ridiculous claim Any place that has done random sampling is reporting a very low asymptomatic rate
- mrighele 7y agoNot ridiculous. After the first town in north east Italy was put in quarantine (Vo Euganeo) the local governor decided to test the whole town for Coronavirus (a few thousand people). More than half of the infected people where without symptoms.
- Lewton 7y agohttps://www.icelandreview.com/sci-tech/is-icelands-coronavirus-testing-showing-that-50-of-cases-have-no-symptoms/ https://www.icelandreview.com/sci-tech/is-icelands-coronavir... It should be obvious, when you have a virus with an infection rate doubling X number of days and it takes X or more days to start showing symptoms, if you do a random sample, 50% will be asymptomatic. That does NOT mean that they will continue to be asymptomatic
- Erikun 7y ago70% would certainly seem to be too high. Data from the Diamond Princess showed 17.9% of infected persons never developed symptoms. https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6912e3.htm https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6912e3.htm
- m0zg 7y agoAnd _all_ the people who died there were in their 70s and beyond and had comorbidities. Just one of those things fearmongers never mention.