It's futile to try to make a strategy that will work 100% of time and still return the same or better than a non hedged strategy. If it's a black swan event, yo

It's futile to try to make a strategy that will work 100% of time and still return the same or better than a non hedged strategy. If it's a black swan event, you won't be able to predict it by definition. I'm not sure what you're trying to argue.