3 ms·
Do this 4 times a year times 10 years (last bull run) and you expire worthless 39/40 times for a net loss.
by eanzenberg 7y ago
Do this 4 times a year times 10 years (last bull run) and you expire worthless 39/40 times for a net loss.
- Matheus28 7y agoYou wouldn't do it in the beginning of a bull run, only once it's been going for a decade plus.
- IAmGraydon 7y agoBlack swan events don’t wait for a 10-year bull market to occur first. You strategy might hedge against a market bubble (still very questionable), but what about all of the other things that can crash the market?
- Matheus28 7y agoIt's futile to try to make a strategy that will work 100% of time and still return the same or better than a non hedged strategy. If it's a black swan event, you won't be able to predict it by definition. I'm not sure what you're trying to argue.
- yissp 7y agohttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy
- Matheus28 7y agoExcept business cycles are a real thing