3 ms·
We need 20 to 30 million tests a day to "restart" America. We can produce at that level, but we're not. We can debate the moral choices once someone in charge s
by brm 6y ago
We need 20 to 30 million tests a day to "restart" America. We can produce at that level, but we're not. We can debate the moral choices once someone in charge shows some competence. Until then it's basically insanity to have a defined solution and not attempt it. We're in a hole and debating throwing other people into holes instead of mass producing ladders.
- Trasmatta 6y agoSource on that 20-30 million number?
- brm 6y ago1 test per person every two weeks with more frequency for healthcare workers etc.. https://paulromer.net/covid-sim-part2/ https://paulromer.net/covid-sim-part2/
- JohnTHaller 6y agoWe're barely testing anyone. I know of only two people tested among my NYC friends. One who is still in the hospital after surgery to improve his breathing. One who is a healthcare worker exposed to a known carrier. Two other friends exposed to a known carrier who got sick couldn't get tested because there weren't enough tests. Nor could the 5 others I know who had COVID-19-like symptoms. Nor could I.
- Exmoor 6y agoWhile I don't think anyone would argue that we are testing anything approaching "enough" people in the US, I would certainly not say we're testing "almost nobody". Looking at Politico's testing tracker ( https://www.politico.com/interactives/2020/coronavirus-testing-by-state-chart-of-new-cases/ https://www.politico.com/interactives/2020/coronavirus-testi... ), most states outside of the hotspots in the Northeastern US have administered about 10x as many tests as they have positive cases. New York and the surrounding areas are obviously a different matter, but at this stage I suspect that even if they did have enough physical tests and capacity to process them they would not have anywhere near enough medical staff to physically administer them. There's also the tradeoff that asking hundreds of thousands of people to leave their dwellings to seek testing would do more harm than good in areas where that necessarily involves walking, public transportation, etc.