Indeed - there is nothing here to indicate a sudden jump (faster than the already high rate of propagation), while there is good reason to believe that the inci

Indeed - there is nothing here to indicate a sudden jump (faster than the already high rate of propagation), while there is good reason to believe that the incidence has been systematically undercounted, on account of the shortage of testing kits. The fatality rate is less likely to be under-counted, if we assume most fatalities are preceded by hospitalization (and often testing.)