3 ms·
5% is the larger of two estimates given in the paper. The other estimate is 0.1%. These aren't an upper and lower bound, just two very different estimates. As
by leereeves 7y ago
5% is the larger of two estimates given in the paper. The other estimate is 0.1%. These aren't an upper and lower bound, just two very different estimates.
As the paper itself details, there are currently too many unknowns for these numbers to guide policy or expectations. But it is an interesting approach that might yield useful conclusions eventually.
- Symmetry 7y agoI'm hoping that, regardless of the absolute number, this method can give us a good handle on the relative number and let us know when infections are going up or down and by roughly how much. Right now the rate of new official infections has pretty much plateaued. My guess would be that actual infections are also plateaued but I can't rule out that just testing has plateaued.