3 ms·
Hell, even some rich Western nations' currencies are fragile by this measure. I thought I was being smart by anticipating the coronavirus crash and selling half
by marvin 7y ago
Hell, even some rich Western nations' currencies are fragile by this measure. I thought I was being smart by anticipating the coronavirus crash and selling half my global funds as an hedge. Timed it almost perfectly, a week and a half before the crash.
But it ended up being a complete wash! The funds were settled in Norwegian Crowns, which fell 30% relative to other currencies along with the stock market. And during the recent recovery, it has recoved in lockstep with the US stock markets, so the returns of my fund holdings measured in Crowns have been pegged at -5% to -10% throughout the whole crisis.
Turns out in retrospect that some big NOK-denominated bond funds investing international bonds were margin called on their currency insurance. They were therefore forced to sell a crapload of NOK bonds into the drop, in sum causing a 20-30% crash in two days.
Let's just say I did not see that coming!
- whoisjohnkid 7y agoYeah it’s def tough to perfectly anticipate what the market will do next. What I’ve learned on my end is just simply be prepared for the following outcomes: 1. Market doing what you want 2. Market NOT doing what you want 3. Market volatility spiking 4. Market volatility decreasing