No they aren't. 100K was the _lower_ bound of those predictions at one point. Now it's 31K. For models to be useful they have to have at least some sort of pred

No they aren't. 100K was the _lower_ bound of those predictions at one point. Now it's 31K. For models to be useful they have to have at least some sort of predictive power. IHME models are total bullshit that, if the feds 100% believed in it, would have caused a complete disaster due to NY hoarding massive quantities of equipment and supplies they did not need. Federal field hospital in IHME's home state, WA, was taken down the other day. It did not see a _single_ patient. The Javits temporary hospital in NY is also almost empty. NY hospitalizations are way down. ICU admissions are down even more steeply. We won't even get the 60K deaths the models are currently predicting. Not even close.