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Flattening the curve is justified to not overwhelm medical facilities, but the new coronavirus is so infectious I doubt we'll develop a vaccine before we achiev
by jackcosgrove 7y ago
Flattening the curve is justified to not overwhelm medical facilities, but the new coronavirus is so infectious I doubt we'll develop a vaccine before we achieve herd immunity.
A lockdown until we develop a vaccine is economically impossible, as it's estimated to take at least a year. A vaccine will be useful for next year's coronavirus.
Thankfully the actual death rate is lower than what the models projected. Antibody testing will do a lot to dispel the fog of war surrounding this issue.
- ddingus 7y agoIt is entirely possible. Econo locally, we will be revisiting how we handle risks and what acceptable margins are.
- pmoriarty 7y agoAt the very least, you're going to be buying people months, possibly years of life for millions of people by having a lockdown. If we were to end the lockdown now there would be way more infections and deaths in the short-term then there would be otherwise. Some deaths may happen anyway due to economic hardship, or social unrest, but the deaths from infections in the short-term are going to be greatly reduced, and even in the long term, the longer the lockdown can be sustained the fewer deaths from infection there are going to be. In the meantime, the government really has to step up to the plate and come up with solutions to the economic problems, which (unlike the pandemic) are under human control.