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"Meanwhile, a report from Imperial College London that made headlines for its dire, modeling-based forecasts predicted about 2.2 million U.S. deaths from the co
by mcguire 7y ago
"Meanwhile, a report from Imperial College London that made headlines for its dire, modeling-based forecasts predicted about 2.2 million U.S. deaths from the coronavirus, if nobody changes their everyday behavior."
On the other hand, they're still quoting that study, which was very out of date well before the 31st.
- lbeltrame 7y agoDo you (or anyone else) have any resources for a critique/comment of that report? I'm interested since I tried reading it and I think I lacked a finer understanding.
- mcguire 7y agoI do not have any specific critiques about it, although I remember seeing the authors had some follow-up work. But the important caveat about that model is that it assumes everyone does nothing. It has been a rather long time since everyone stopped doing nothing, so even if it is entirely correct, it has not been relevant since well before this article was written.