Its pretty simple: there isn't any decent data. The data we have is strongly biased to older and sicker people. There is no systematic surveillance of a geogr

Its pretty simple: there isn't any decent data. The data we have is strongly biased to older and sicker people. There is no systematic surveillance of a geographic area, only panic testing of those who are showing symptoms. Until there is sampling of a a borough, city or town, from start to finish, we will have wildly wrong models. The only thing that we can plot reasonably accurately is the exponent of the fatalities, but even then its because its based on mostly hard data (unless its china...)