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I don't think it is - I think you can write "x is like y" but you have to understand and explain why. Otherwise I can say "a hippo is like a bright blue sky" an
by sgt101 7y ago
I don't think it is - I think you can write "x is like y" but you have to understand and explain why. Otherwise I can say "a hippo is like a bright blue sky" and then claim that I am right! I don't think that this is like modelling the impact of a butterfly on storms - I think this is more like modelling the diffusion of a bottle of dye in a swimming pool.
- deadmetheny 7y agoGrandparent is somewhat nonsensical, but I think what they were trying to say is that since human society is a highly dynamical system, it's not really possible to have a highly accurate model to represent how COVID-19 is going to spread. The best we can do is use naive models and plan around worst-case scenarios.
- vrinstan 7y agoWe did use naive models and turned off half the planet. We should learn not to do that anymore. And beside that, we should hold our politicians accountable for these decisions.
- sgt101 7y agoBut we know really quite accurately how people en-mass move and associate prior to intervention. The proper models are using this information.