13 ms·
This is really cool! I wonder how it fares with semi-reliable data, like where I live, in Belarus: https://covid-gauss.site/country/belarus https://covid-gauss
by newsbinator 7y ago
This is really cool! I wonder how it fares with semi-reliable data, like where I live, in Belarus:
https://covid-gauss.site/country/belarus https://covid-gauss.site/country/belarus
Last I heard we were only testing people who had traveled and first-order contacts of those people, so the true numbers (and conversely the asymptomatic cases) could be much higher. That was over a month ago and perhaps we're testing more people now, given community spread.
Still, can we assume the Gaussian curve is even in the right ball park? It'd be great to visualize an end date for all this.
- eatthatpie 7y agoUnfortunately, the current model is not able to consume data such as for Belarus. It may now be possible to make an estimate as the numbers are growing, but still the calculations are based on officially confirmed cases.