Hi there! A few days ago I launched the COVID-19 timeline application: https://covid-gauss.site https://covid-gauss.site. I was curious about the actual timelin

Hi there! A few days ago I launched the COVID-19 timeline application: https://covid-gauss.site https://covid-gauss.site. I was curious about the actual timeline structure and a little annoyed by people in the media saying that the whole thing would last for months without any grounds for this kind of thesis. I am not a scientist. This is a simple approximation to the Gaussian curve (so one of the possible mathematical models) and for now - nothing more. But for many countries such as Italy, Spain, Germany, the US, etc, the curve seems to be more accurate as the days go by. I know the app is not perfect, updates will come. I surely need to make the model more stable. Two days ago I heard in the media that in Germany couple hundred people died and more than 4000 got infected. That's bad. But if you look at the curve, you will see that for the day that was the exact estimate, 20000 more infections will come (resulting in 140000 total cases) and the whole party will end in 4 weeks. And that's a slightly different perspective. Estimates are made for each country separately. What do you think? https://covid-gauss.site/ https://covid-gauss.site/ ~ etp. PS. The code is open sourced and can be found here: https://github.com/eatthatpie/covid-gauss https://github.com/eatthatpie/covid-gauss. Please keep in mind that some parts of the code are still a bit messy. ;)