2 ms·
Tell HN: China Underreported with a Value of 12.59370314842579 ( raw guess )
> 42.000 cases based on cemetaries
42.000 unoficial deaths / 3335 ( reported deaths cases) * 81865 (reported cases ) = 1.030.983 total cases in China.
Sources:
https://www.rfa.org/english/news/china/wuhan-deaths-03272020182846.html
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
There is also one day that the real numbers leaked, which could mean that the numbers are way higher:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/china/
Any thoughts?
- gus_massa 7y agoI'm not sure if your estimation is correct or wrong, but please use less decimal to report the result when the estimation is so rough. Something like ~12 or ~13 would be much better, perhaps ~10.
- NicoJuicy 7y agoIt was actually used as reference to not take it too literally. Perhaps not too successful though :)
- unlikelymordant 7y agoWhat proportion of the 42000 were natural deaths i.e. non-covid. All of those people will be represented in the 42,000 figure as well. If you are talking about feb 12 as 'real' numbers, that was the day they included diagnoses based on scans (since the start of the epidemic) as well as positive tests. The fact is counting deaths is hard: NYC has been underreporting deaths by up to 70% - https://gothamist.com/news/death-count-expected-soar-nyc-says-it-will-begin-reporting-suspected-covid-deaths-addition-confirmed-ones https://gothamist.com/news/death-count-expected-soar-nyc-say...
- tmaly 7y agoThere are a lot of numbers after the decimal in that figure. Is there any accuracy in these figures?