I think it's probable, but I wouldn't say its safe to assume. We haven't found a vaccine for HIV yet, despite a huge global effort over the last 35+ years. Th

I think it's probable, but I wouldn't say its safe to assume. We haven't found a vaccine for HIV yet, despite a huge global effort over the last 35+ years. The vaccine for influenza only works on some strains and has to be re-developed every year. Influenza is still a top 10 cause of death in the US despite ~40% of the population getting vaccinated. A Hepatitis B vaccine was developed in the 1980s, but no one could develop one for Hepatitis C (though it is now curable with drugs). The current vaccine for dengue fever virus, which infects 400M people annually and kills 40,000, is not widely distributed because it increases the risk of severe infection in some people. I do think we'll get a vaccine. The amount of research money and scientific attention that's going to be dedicated to COVID-19 over the next year will truly be unprecedented. But we are in uncharted territory.