3 ms·

Indeed, this is the key question, what are the number of excess deaths compared with this time last year. Are mortality statistics available to that sort of gra

Indeed, this is the key question, what are the number of excess deaths compared with this time last year. Are mortality statistics available to that sort of granularity and speed (e.g. "number of deaths registered last week") for any country or region in the world? If you die of heart failure and happen to be covid infected (which is likely given how widespread it is) do you go down as a covid death rather than a heart failure?

iso1631 7y ago
> Are mortality statistics available to that sort of granularity and speed To answer my own question, yes https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/weekly-all-cause-mortality-surveillance-2019-to-2020 https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/weekly-all-cause-mo... I love gov.uk Week 9 commences March 2nd (I'm assuming the weeks are the same as ISO weeks) Week | Total dead(E+W) | Covid (UK) | Excess mortality 8 Feb24-Mar1 | 10,841 | 0 | ... 9 Mar 2-8 | 10,816 | 3 | no 10 Mar 9-15 | 10,895 | 32 | no 11 Mar 16-22 | 11,019 | 300 | no 12 Mar 23-29 | 10,645 | 1073 | no 13 Mar30-Apr5 | n/a | 3965 | yes -- England overall and 65+. not in Wales/Scotland/NI. Specific England regions - London, South East, E+W Midlands, North West Note the graph showing the recent increase: https://i.imgur.com/McBopJql.png https://i.imgur.com/McBopJql.png The next weekly report is out tomorrow, which should have the total death figures for week 13. It looks like in week 12 though, 10% of deaths in the UK were put down to COVID, but the total increase on the year before wasn't that high. Next week will be englightening Covid death figures from wikipedia. GovUK also have this, hospital admissions. Look at the massive fall over the last few weeks. https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/877600/EDSSSBulletin2020wk13.pdf.pdf https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/...
- thu2111 7y ago
  Ah great find. I was looking for UK hospital admissions data. That's pretty shocking. Pneumonia and respiratory has hardly moved (where is the wave???) yet there's a huge fall in emergency cardiac patients. That's worrying. It implies people having heart attacks are choosing not to go to hospital fast enough, even though they could.
  - iso1631 7y ago
    I'm assuming that half those attendances aren't because of heart attacks, but are to do with routine follow up appointments?
    - thu2111 7y ago
      Isn't this data for emergency admissions only?
      - iso1631 7y ago
        True, "Emergency departments" https://www.bmj.com/content/bmj/369/bmj.m1406.full.pdf https://www.bmj.com/content/bmj/369/bmj.m1406.full.pdf People are ignoring stroke symptoms and failing to ring 999 because they fear being a burden on the NHS in England duringthe covid-19 pandemic, the national clinical director for stroke has warned. Deb Lowe, consultant stroke physician at Wirral University Teaching Hospital, said that doctors across the country were seeing “quite striking reductions” in the number of people coming into hospital with symptoms of stroke. She said, “It appears that people aren’t seeking emergency help or going to hospital when they suspect a stroke, possibly due to fear of the virus or not wanting to be a burden on the NHS.”

iso1631 7y ago

> Are mortality statistics available to that sort of granularity and speed To answer my own question, yes https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/weekly-all-cause-mortality-surveillance-2019-to-2020 https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/weekly-all-cause-mo... I love gov.uk Week 9 commences March 2nd (I'm assuming the weeks are the same as ISO weeks) Week | Total dead(E+W) | Covid (UK) | Excess mortality 8 Feb24-Mar1 | 10,841 | 0 | ... 9 Mar 2-8 | 10,816 | 3 | no 10 Mar 9-15 | 10,895 | 32 | no 11 Mar 16-22 | 11,019 | 300 | no 12 Mar 23-29 | 10,645 | 1073 | no 13 Mar30-Apr5 | n/a | 3965 | yes -- England overall and 65+. not in Wales/Scotland/NI. Specific England regions - London, South East, E+W Midlands, North West Note the graph showing the recent increase: https://i.imgur.com/McBopJql.png https://i.imgur.com/McBopJql.png The next weekly report is out tomorrow, which should have the total death figures for week 13. It looks like in week 12 though, 10% of deaths in the UK were put down to COVID, but the total increase on the year before wasn't that high. Next week will be englightening Covid death figures from wikipedia. GovUK also have this, hospital admissions. Look at the massive fall over the last few weeks. https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/877600/EDSSSBulletin2020wk13.pdf.pdf https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/...

thu2111 7y ago
Ah great find. I was looking for UK hospital admissions data. That's pretty shocking. Pneumonia and respiratory has hardly moved (where is the wave???) yet there's a huge fall in emergency cardiac patients. That's worrying. It implies people having heart attacks are choosing not to go to hospital fast enough, even though they could.
- iso1631 7y ago
  I'm assuming that half those attendances aren't because of heart attacks, but are to do with routine follow up appointments?
  - thu2111 7y ago
    Isn't this data for emergency admissions only?
    - iso1631 7y ago
      True, "Emergency departments" https://www.bmj.com/content/bmj/369/bmj.m1406.full.pdf https://www.bmj.com/content/bmj/369/bmj.m1406.full.pdf People are ignoring stroke symptoms and failing to ring 999 because they fear being a burden on the NHS in England duringthe covid-19 pandemic, the national clinical director for stroke has warned. Deb Lowe, consultant stroke physician at Wirral University Teaching Hospital, said that doctors across the country were seeing “quite striking reductions” in the number of people coming into hospital with symptoms of stroke. She said, “It appears that people aren’t seeking emergency help or going to hospital when they suspect a stroke, possibly due to fear of the virus or not wanting to be a burden on the NHS.”