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I would love to see a study that shows how much money publicly traded companies are keeping on hand as a percentage of revenues over the last 75 years. My gues
by ijidak 7y ago
I would love to see a study that shows how much money publicly traded companies are keeping on hand as a percentage of revenues over the last 75 years.
My guess is: (1) The long period of relative peace post WW-II and (2) the collapse of the Soviet Union, and (3) the ever-expanding size and liquidity of global financial markets, have led to slowly dwindling cash reserves for all non-financial, publicly traded companies. (Especially if you exclude the most profitable tech companies)
I'd also love to see the trend in cash reserves post 2008 bailouts.
That data might help settle this debate.
Are companies taking advantage of bailout culture?
E.g. there is a social safety net for large companies that doesn't exist for small companies.
As that safety net has formed, has that led to no change in net cash reserves, an increase, or a decrease?
My guess would be that it has led to a decrease.
Because, it seems safe for the largest companies to understand that every 10 years or so, they will need a bailout for unexpected global turmoil. (A war, a man-made disaster, a pandemic, etc.)
- fapjacks 7y agoI'd be willing to bet my next paycheck that cash/credit trends would generally follow the cycle of the broader economy with few surprises -- though I understand viscerally your (very human) impulse to say we'd find cash reserves falling steadily over the years. After all, the reason economic expansion (above and beyond productivity growth) happens is because companies and people are extended credit, and companies and people take credit because they don't have the cash on hand. And of course when this momentum cannot be maintained, recession. To your point, however, I'd also be willing to bet that the largest companies actively consider the current "bailout culture" in decisions concerning their broader strategy.