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Having just finished "Black Swan" I am convinced companies need to start thinking that these "once in a lifetime" events are actually pretty common. Having cash
by seiferteric 7y ago
Having just finished "Black Swan" I am convinced companies need to start thinking that these "once in a lifetime" events are actually pretty common. Having cash on hand to weather a storm should be mandated by shareholders.
- ff317 7y agoNot to mention the airline industry in particular routinely has adverse events that affect it. Just to run down a list of random things airline execs should be considering as "normal" risks they need to plan some buffer for, all of which have caused significantly impactful events on a regular basis for the industry, even to the point of causing some airlines to go bankrupt and/or be bought out by competitors over time: * Government regulation impacts * Union strikes * Aircraft groundings due to faulty (or less-long-lived than anticipated) parts * Ticket search companies undercutting their profits * Oil (and thus fuel, one of their main costs) price surges * Wars and conflicts that decrease travel demand or cause large unsafe-to-fly zones over the world. * Volcano eruptions that fill regions of the globe's sky with engine-killing volcanic dust. * Terrorism (the reduction in passenger demand in the wake, groundings while implementing new safeguards, related lawsuits in the aftermath, etc) * Now-obviously: Pandemics (but even smaller epidemics have shown effects several times in the past couple of decades!)