3 ms·
The model was updated this morning based on the latest data as well as additional improvements to increase accuracy. The peak surge date for CA changes from Apr
by mrandish 7y ago
The model was updated this morning based on the latest data as well as additional improvements to increase accuracy. The peak surge date for CA changes from April 26th to April 14th and at peak CA will only use 4,869 of 26,654 available hospital beds and 798 of 1,993 ICU beds.
The total U.S. and per-state model is here: https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
The data and methodology improvements are explained in detail here: http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates
This is the main model referenced by the CDC and White House Task Force in their briefings. It was developed by the non-profit Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation which is affiliated with the University of Washington, works with WHO, NIH, the World Bank, and United Nations. IMHE is funded in part by the Gates Foundation.