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"No worse than the flu." How could they feel safe saying such things? Because in most health scares historically this has been correct. That the danger had bee
by chvid 7y ago
"No worse than the flu." How could they feel safe saying such things?
Because in most health scares historically this has been correct. That the danger had been wildly overestimated.
And even now, it is not clear that "we" have a correct estimation of the danger.
Recently I read an estimate that 50% of the infected have no symptons. I even read another estimate that 90% have no symptons. Should the latter be correct then we are overestimating the danger and wildly overreacting.
- Retric 7y agoAnyone saying 90% have no symptoms is simply lying. China’s case fatality rate is over 4% which is likely inflated. Dimond Princess tested everyone and has a 12/712 or 1.7% case fatality rate with many still in critical condition and the majority of positive results showing symptoms and a high percentage needing hospitalization. A wildly optimistic estimate of 1 death per 200 cases x 70% infections is over 1 million dead Americans. And that’s assuming we could provide care for millions of people in critical condition.
- watwut 7y agoI think that I would want to see source for "most health scares are exaggerated". Because I don't recall that many health scares touted by scientists as much as this one and I am not young. The 50% of cases being asymptomatic is what makes it spread so easily and overwhelm our healthcare system. It is good news with regards to mortality, but the asymptomatic cases were predicted to be there by scientists already when it was in China only. If you read the reports, the models suggested the asymptomatic cases must be there long time ago.