4 ms·
There is plenty of sites to track predictions: https://www.metaculus.com https://www.metaculus.com http://longbets.org http://longbets.org http://www.knewthenew
by qznc 7y ago
There is plenty of sites to track predictions:
https://www.metaculus.com https://www.metaculus.com
http://longbets.org http://longbets.org
http://www.knewthenews.com http://www.knewthenews.com
https://predictionbook.com https://predictionbook.com
I try to record predictions I find in the news. Most statements by politicians and journalists are too vague though. You need to get from "more people will die from COVID-19" to "more than 1.000.000 people will die from COVID-19 before May according to worldometers.info".
- smsm42 7y agoPredictions on random internet sites are cheap, worth thing you risk is losing a little money or some imaginary Internet points. Politicians are in a situation where their predictions can cost lives, they are forced to make them - and in most cases, they have no information and no ability to make any proper analysis of the situation. So they just do what they've done most of their professional lives - they bullshit away.