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I'm not sure the author knows vaccines exist... In 18 months or less there will very likely have a vaccine, of course it will impact NYC, but it's not this mad

I'm not sure the author knows vaccines exist... In 18 months or less there will very likely have a vaccine, of course it will impact NYC, but it's not this mad max scenario. Legit don't know how some people can get published in big websites such as this with such garbage content.

Cerium 7y ago
I would not count on it. There are other coronaviruses and we don't have vaccines for them. Of course I'm hopeful, but not ready to count the chicken here.
- Ericson2314 7y ago
  We had previously been divesting in this type of vaccine research for years, so I remain optimistic now that we are actually trying we'll get better results.
- adrianN 7y ago
  We don't make vaccines just for fun. It's quite expensive to do so and vaccinations, however safe, still have a little risk. You don't have to vaccinate against the other corona viruses because they don't pose a significant risk.
umanwizard 7y ago
> In 18 months or less there will very likely have a vaccine I see this repeated endlessly but I can't track down where it came from. Do you have a source?
- JadeNB 7y ago
  I think it's an optimistic extrapolation from "it'll take at least 12–18 months to get a vaccine"—for example, > “Like most vaccinologists, I don’t think this vaccine will be ready before 18 months,” says Annelies Wilder-Smith, professor of emerging infectious diseases at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. That’s already extremely fast, and it assumes there will be no hitches. (https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/06/when-will-coronavirus-vaccine-be-ready https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/06/when-will-coro... )—to "we'll almost certainly have a vaccine in 12–18 months".
  - umanwizard 7y ago
    Yep, but that doesn't imply anything remotely close to "In 18 months or less there will very likely [be] a vaccine".
    - JadeNB 7y ago
      Indeed, that's why I called it an optimistic extrapolation. (Maybe I should have said over-optimistic?)
      - umanwizard 7y ago
        Oh sorry, I wasn't disagreeing with you, just expounding on your point. You were perfectly clear!

Cerium 7y ago

I would not count on it. There are other coronaviruses and we don't have vaccines for them. Of course I'm hopeful, but not ready to count the chicken here.

Ericson2314 7y ago
We had previously been divesting in this type of vaccine research for years, so I remain optimistic now that we are actually trying we'll get better results.
adrianN 7y ago
We don't make vaccines just for fun. It's quite expensive to do so and vaccinations, however safe, still have a little risk. You don't have to vaccinate against the other corona viruses because they don't pose a significant risk.

umanwizard 7y ago

> In 18 months or less there will very likely have a vaccine I see this repeated endlessly but I can't track down where it came from. Do you have a source?

JadeNB 7y ago
I think it's an optimistic extrapolation from "it'll take at least 12–18 months to get a vaccine"—for example, > “Like most vaccinologists, I don’t think this vaccine will be ready before 18 months,” says Annelies Wilder-Smith, professor of emerging infectious diseases at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. That’s already extremely fast, and it assumes there will be no hitches. (https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/06/when-will-coronavirus-vaccine-be-ready https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/06/when-will-coro... )—to "we'll almost certainly have a vaccine in 12–18 months".
- umanwizard 7y ago
  Yep, but that doesn't imply anything remotely close to "In 18 months or less there will very likely [be] a vaccine".
  - JadeNB 7y ago
    Indeed, that's why I called it an optimistic extrapolation. (Maybe I should have said over-optimistic?)
    - umanwizard 7y ago
      Oh sorry, I wasn't disagreeing with you, just expounding on your point. You were perfectly clear!