You can't honestly write "an article on how many people will die of the virus" which gives a number. No one knows. What you can do is write an article about pr

You can't honestly write "an article on how many people will die of the virus" which gives a number. No one knows. What you can do is write an article about projections of how many people will die. In it you talk about the data sources being used in the model(s), the assumptions being made in the model(s), and the result they give including likely major sources of error.. You can put more or less detail depending on your audience. But it should always include enough detail that your audience understands that it is an estimate based on assumptions and likely flawed data, and you should always understand the model you are writing about even if you don't explain it.