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Seems like those statistics would be pretty easily explained by Marseille being a week or two behind other areas in France on the epidemic curve. Pennsylvania:
by rrss 7y ago
Seems like those statistics would be pretty easily explained by Marseille being a week or two behind other areas in France on the epidemic curve.
Pennsylvania: 11510 cases, 150 deaths, mortality rate 1.3%
Is Pennsylvania also using HCQ systematically on all cases? I don't think these crude CFRs are useful.
- ucha 7y agoThat's the most interesting rebuttal I've heard but I don't think it's true. Everything else being equal, you could estimate the stage of the epidemic by the number of cases per capita. The Marseille department, Bouches-du-Rhône, has 3% of the French population and about 4% of cases. Also, in your example, the crude CFR for the US is 2.9% right now, so only 2.2x that of Pennsylvania. We're talking about 8+ here.
- rrss 7y agoYou didn't finish the comparison for cases for capita. Bouches-du-Rhône has ~3% of the French population and ~4% of the covid-19 hospitalizations. The department of Paris has ~3% of the French population and ~10% of the hospitalizations. That seems to indicate that Bouches-du-Rhône is behind Paris. (used hospitalizations instead of cases only because I couldn't find a good source for case breakdown by department. numbers from https://dashboard.covid19.data.gouv.fr/ https://dashboard.covid19.data.gouv.fr/)