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CDC says USA deaths are at 6,500 as of yesterday 4th April [1] Considering they were reported in the news[2] as 600 on Tues 23rd, 1000 on Thurs 25th, 2000 on S
by jodrellblank 7y ago
CDC says USA deaths are at 6,500 as of yesterday 4th April [1]
Considering they were reported in the news[2] as 600 on Tues 23rd, 1000 on Thurs 25th, 2000 on Sat 28th, 3700 on Mon 31st, and the infection rate increasing steeply, to have “only” 6500 or 9100 a week later is quite flat.
Yes deaths lag infections, but on the same CDC page the total infection count graph has only been increasing faster over this time, from 80,000 to 260,000.
Doubling every three days would become 7-10k dead midweek, 15-20k dead by now, this weekend. (That’s the reported infection rate in NY and Michigan, by the media), and it’s half that or less.
Has the death count slowed significantly this week? A Phantom of vague rounded numbers?
[1] https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/case...
[2] https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/health/2020/03/25/coronavirus-usa-death-count-dead-1000/5079442002/ https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/health/2020/03/25/coronav...
- hedora 7y agoThe US death rate is the sum of a bunch of time-lagged exponential curves. For instance, CA is 2 weeks after NY. Numbers from individual states are more informative (but have similar issues for big states): https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]