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I have seen many articles with similar thoughts - that the death rate of Covid is < 1%, similar or less than the flu and other well known viruses. But, anecdot

I have seen many articles with similar thoughts - that the death rate of Covid is < 1%, similar or less than the flu and other well known viruses. But, anecdotally, two close associates have died of Covid, and a neighbor is now on life support. May he get better soon! I (fortunately) have not heard of anyone even being put into a life-threatening position by Flu. Asking a few friends, their experiences match mine, though the victims differ. Can someone with more understanding explain - are we just the exceptions, or is there some reason that the anecdotal evidence is so far different from the numbers?

theferalrobot 7y ago
Again maybe just an anecdotal outlier but I know quite a few people that have died of the flu, from a couple kids when I was young to some of my elderly relatives.
learc83 7y ago
Less than 1% is still much higher than the the flu. But the flu kills tens of thousands per year in the US alone, so it's fairly common.
LorenPechtel 7y ago
Under 1% is still far above the flu. And note that parts of Italy have excess mortality of 1% of the population even though most of them aren't listed as Covid-19 deaths.
- thebruce87m 7y ago
  Do you have links to data for excess mortality? I’m struggling to find any localised data. Here is country wide mortality data: https://www.euromomo.eu/index.html https://www.euromomo.eu/index.html
dboreham 7y ago
Common flu does not have a ~1% CFR. More like 0.1%. So those articles are (deliberately?) wrong. If you mean "less than the 1918 flu", then yes you're right.
deleted 7y ago
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akvadrako 7y ago
Every year about 295-650k die of respiratory issues with flu as a complication. That means on average a 30-year-old knows about 200 times the people who have died of the flu then Covid. So you must certainly be an exception. Personally, I don't know anyone who knows anyone who's even been hospitalized. ref: https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/influenza-(seasonal) https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/influenza-(...
BenjiWiebe 7y ago
One more data point here, I too do not know of anyone who has died (or even been hospitalized) with influenza, despite my having a large social circle including plenty of elderly. I don't know of anyone who has died of covid yet, but our county has only had single digits confirmed cases yet. One of which is a well known farmer in the area, and he is hospitalized currently.

theferalrobot 7y ago

Again maybe just an anecdotal outlier but I know quite a few people that have died of the flu, from a couple kids when I was young to some of my elderly relatives.

learc83 7y ago

Less than 1% is still much higher than the the flu. But the flu kills tens of thousands per year in the US alone, so it's fairly common.

LorenPechtel 7y ago

Under 1% is still far above the flu. And note that parts of Italy have excess mortality of 1% of the population even though most of them aren't listed as Covid-19 deaths.

thebruce87m 7y ago
Do you have links to data for excess mortality? I’m struggling to find any localised data. Here is country wide mortality data: https://www.euromomo.eu/index.html https://www.euromomo.eu/index.html

dboreham 7y ago

Common flu does not have a ~1% CFR. More like 0.1%. So those articles are (deliberately?) wrong. If you mean "less than the 1918 flu", then yes you're right.

deleted 7y ago

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akvadrako 7y ago

Every year about 295-650k die of respiratory issues with flu as a complication. That means on average a 30-year-old knows about 200 times the people who have died of the flu then Covid. So you must certainly be an exception. Personally, I don't know anyone who knows anyone who's even been hospitalized. ref: https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/influenza-(seasonal) https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/influenza-(...

BenjiWiebe 7y ago

One more data point here, I too do not know of anyone who has died (or even been hospitalized) with influenza, despite my having a large social circle including plenty of elderly. I don't know of anyone who has died of covid yet, but our county has only had single digits confirmed cases yet. One of which is a well known farmer in the area, and he is hospitalized currently.