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Yeah Italy missed a lot of cases with their testing, which makes it seem higher. Spain also. If you look at Germany, South Korea you see a much lower death rat
by eloff 7y ago
Yeah Italy missed a lot of cases with their testing, which makes it seem higher. Spain also.
If you look at Germany, South Korea you see a much lower death rate, but they also have younger populations. In this case you want the min, not the max or the average, because the death rate of the virus should be fixed. The lower the rate just tells you how effectively the country did their testing, and thus how accurate the denominator is.
What complicates that greatly is the fact that the age of the population matters a lot. And Italy has one of the oldest populations. Countries in Africa with very young populations would expect a much lower death rate - complicated again by their relatively poor population and health systems and incompetent and corrupt governments.
- luckylion 7y agoGermany's median age is 47.1 compared to Italy's 45.5. It holds for South Korea at 41.8 though.
- eloff 7y agoMedian hides a lot of information. What you really want to know is how many people over 70. Still Germany and Italy are almost equal there at 20% over 65. South Korea is about 13%. Given it's so close between Germany and Italy, testing probably accounts for the majority of the difference.
- raverbashing 7y agoThe test has a high false-negative rate as well, it seems it's around 30% (also depends on how the test was done and where the sample was collected)