Which would further imply that circumstances must change to get that manageable rate as long as group immunity is not proven and a vaccine is still lacking. The

Which would further imply that circumstances must change to get that manageable rate as long as group immunity is not proven and a vaccine is still lacking. The circumstances pre-lockdown allowed the virus to easily travel beyond China. Both measures and mindset in many Western countries are still incredibly lax. The symptoms mimicking those of cold, flu, etc. also don't help. People value their current freedom, privacy and hyper-mobility way too much for a manageable rate to come to fruition without locking down. Otherwise you'll just end up with a new trend of locking down things for 2 months, then opening up, only for a new patient 0 to lock down everything 2 months later.