4 ms·
> Once the case count is sufficiently low, we just need R0 to be less than 1. 0.9 is sufficient Consider that it takes days-to-weeks for patient-zero to show s
by dan_quixote 7y ago
> Once the case count is sufficiently low, we just need R0 to be less than 1. 0.9 is sufficient
Consider that it takes days-to-weeks for patient-zero to show symptoms, another couple weeks for symptoms to appear in spreadees, and still more days for the government to responds with strict enforcement. This kind of feedback loop will make this kind of control impossible.
- restalis 7y agoThe effective phase of infection only starts when the first symptoms occur. The virus is not airborne, it relies on liquid droplets to be inhaled by the next victim, thus even infected, as long as the individual does not exhibit sings of sneezing or coughing, the posed risk of infecting others is quite low.
- taeric 7y agoThis feels directly contradictory to every story out right now. Are you sure you have the right?
- ianburrell 7y agoThat feedback loop is why need to have widespread testing and contact tracing. First patient may take time to show symptoms but then you test everyone they had contact with and catch positives before they show symptoms or are asymptomatic. Also important is quarantining anyone with symptoms until tests prove they are negative. South Korea and Taiwan show that this kind of control is possible.
- notyourday 7y agoPolice state here we come? It is pretty amazing to watch how quick we are at giving the benevolent government a dystopian level of control.