3 ms·
The number of people who die, on average, per day in the US (as of 2015) was roughly 7,500. We're less than 5 doubling periods from those being our daily number
by kian 7y ago
The number of people who die, on average, per day in the US (as of 2015) was roughly 7,500. We're less than 5 doubling periods from those being our daily numbers - i.e., for the death rate in the US to be doubled. At 3-5 days per doubling, that's less than a month away. Every day after that, until we either burn through 80% of the population or invent and distribute a vaccine, is going to be something we are unprepared for in our history as a nation. Approximately 8 doubling periods from then, or about two months away, and if we haven't gotten this under control, more people will die in one day than will die all year in a normal year. At least then, we will pretty much have hit the upper end of the curve, and at that point may well gain herd immunity. I give it about 4 more weeks until we consider hell to have officially broken loose. I expect human behavior to be less predictable at that point - or perhaps all too predictable...