Confirmed cases is difficult to measure as countries test so differently. Sweden has a lot of deaths (though not exceptional if you look at per million inhabit

Confirmed cases is difficult to measure as countries test so differently. Sweden has a lot of deaths (though not exceptional if you look at per million inhabitants) and I believe it will rise; the question is how much lag there is and how much lock-downs work, what type you are talking about and how long you can keep it up. There is also random chance I feel. For example in Sweden we have something called "sportlov", which is a week off from school (it is a different week for different parts of the country) and for Stockholm it was end of February and a many went to the Italian alps skiing for example. How much did that affect the spread? So while one learning is that I think somewhere like South Korea is a role model, be more prepared and actually have protective gear in storage units instead of relying on global supply chains always working another thing is just how many with "just the flu" walked around in the biggest cities in your country before it was taken seriously.