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> I would not be surprised if fatalities overall remain flat What would be enough evidence in a month or two that you would agree that this was fantastically o
by s9w 7y ago
> I would not be surprised if fatalities overall remain flat
What would be enough evidence in a month or two that you would agree that this was fantastically overblown? I fear that even after this is over, the numbers will be be same same but still misrepresented by everyone to say that it was all necessary.
- sgc 7y agoI doubt that would be possible in that time frame. But I would need to see evidence of basic herd immunity or a massive chunk of herd immunity (50% population including representative percentage of the elderly) with low death rates, including in areas where medical systems were overwhelmed. Otherwise an effective preventative quarantine will always on face value look like an exaggeration, since the goal is to avoid something before it happens. But looking at New York and Milan, etc, I think that option is fast becoming a fantasy if it is not one already. Solidarity and group effort are important parts of what it means to be human.
- s9w 7y agoThat is a very high bar to prove and therefore a very low bar to implement these harsh measures. The measures themselves are inhuman too. I think we both weight our rights, the medical risk and economic danger differently but I can see your reasoning.
- sgc 7y agoMaybe we should be infecting under 40s with a very low dose of the virus so they have an ever higher probability of getting just a little sick, and jump start the herd immunity process. It would be a form of vaccine-lite and allow a lot of people to get back to a normal life sooner rather than later.