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I cannot read this article ATM, but there was another one a couple days ago on an Italian newspaper, in English, which gets the same conclusion by looking direc
by riffraff 7y ago
I cannot read this article ATM, but there was another one a couple days ago on an Italian newspaper, in English, which gets the same conclusion by looking directly at the number of deaths in the period compared with last year. The number seems to be a much better proxy of the gravity of the epidemic than the reported infected.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.corriere.it/politica/20_marzo_26/the-real-death-toll-for-covid-19-is-at-least-4-times-the-official-numbers-b5af0edc-6eeb-11ea-925b-a0c3cdbe1130_amp.html https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.corriere.it/politica/20_mar...
- _-___________-_ 7y agoIf you're interested in this perspective, EUROMOMO[0] is worth keeping an eye on. It's the all-cause mortality monitoring data that Europe has collected on a per-country and per-age-group basis for a decade or so, for the purpose of early detection of increased mortality due to e.g. a bad flu season. There is some time lag in the data (probably more than usual right now in Italy/Spain) but increased mortality should show up within a few weeks there. [0] http://euromomo.eu/ http://euromomo.eu/
- notechback 7y agoReally interesting. It currently shows week 12, so the second half of march. It looks like there is overall a lower number, especially for 0-4 year olds. Staying home saves lives beyond covid...?
- _-___________-_ 7y agoStaying home means fewer traffic accidents, and closing businesses means fewer workplace accidents (admittedly not relevant for the 0-4 age group) and maybe lower pollution. So it definitely seems possible that all-cause mortality for some age groups would reduce.