And now (a day later) the projection is that Florida will be short by 917 ICU beds. And this will keep changing. As they say in http://www.healthdata.org/co

And now (a day later) the projection is that Florida will be short by 917 ICU beds. And this will keep changing. As they say in http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates "Our model’s increase in nationwide deaths since the March 31 release is primarily driven by increasing death tolls in states that previously had very few COVID-19 deaths. States with more COVID-19 deaths, such as New York and Washington, show far less fluctuation across daily updates." Basically, in states with little testing and if they are in the start of the cycle, the data is very unreliable. See their update for Alabama. In a single day, with newer data, the death projection went up by 540% "Notably, fitting on new data released on March 31, the cumulative COVID-19 death estimates for Alabama increased to 7,334 (1,130 to 17,040), an estimate that is 6,161 deaths higher than previous estimates."