Ballpark estimate... - They have 50,000 ventilatators now. - 1.3 billion people. - Suppose they miraculously keep the infection rate below 50%, say 500 milli

Ballpark estimate... - They have 50,000 ventilatators now. - 1.3 billion people. - Suppose they miraculously keep the infection rate below 50%, say 500 million over three months. - 15% need a ventilator, but flatten the curve and it’s 5% of 500m at any one time. Does that pencil out to... um... a million ventilators? Yikes. What did I miss there?